{"ok":true,"trend":{"id":747323,"platform":"x","region":"ES","key":"traders on polymarket now give spain a 56% chance of a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% just days ago. t","title":"Traders on Polymarket now give Spain a 56% chance of a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% just days ago. T","url":"https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2106029568360370464","first_seen":"2026-10-02T15:08:29.048037Z","last_seen":"2026-10-02T15:08:29.048037Z","last_rank":1,"peak_rank":1,"last_volume":140,"peak_volume":140,"seen_count":1,"score":0.77,"category_hint":null,"section":null,"category":null,"summary":"Traders on prediction platform Polymarket now put a 56% probability on Spain holding a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% only days earlier. The sharp move followed Catalan separatist party Junts joining the conservative PP and far-right Vox to defeat Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's two housing decrees in parliament, deepening doubts over his minority government's ability to survive.","why":"Sánchez's parliamentary defeat by Junts, PP and Vox has raised expectations his coalition may collapse and trigger an early vote.","tone":"neutral","entities":["Pedro Sánchez","Junts","Partido Popular","Vox","Polymarket"],"summarized_at":"2026-10-02T15:09:58.118663Z","meta":{"via":"country-search","lang":"en","term":"Spain"},"nw":null,"promo":null,"kind":null,"importance":null,"hidden":false,"hide_reason":null,"judged_at":null,"title_en":"Polymarket odds of early Spanish election in 2026 jump to 56%","timeline":[{"captured_at":"2026-10-02T15:08:29.048037Z","rank":1,"volume":140}],"posts":[{"platform":"x","url":"https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2106029568360370464","author":"sentdefender","title":null,"snippet":"Traders on Polymarket now give Spain a 56% chance of a snap general election in 2026, up from under 20% just days ago. The jump came after Catalan separatist party Junts sided with the conservative PP and far right Vox to sink Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's two housing decrees","posted_at":"2026-10-02T14:32:31Z","likes":140}],"elsewhere":[],"window":"7d"}}