{"ok":true,"trend":{"id":369815,"platform":"hn","region":"global","key":"where's the \"intelligence explosion\"?","title":"Where's the \"Intelligence Explosion\"?","url":"https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/wheres-the-intelligence-explosion","first_seen":"2026-09-29T14:50:39.767067Z","last_seen":"2026-09-29T16:20:39.612583Z","last_rank":24,"peak_rank":24,"last_volume":28,"peak_volume":28,"seen_count":2,"score":38.18,"category_hint":null,"section":null,"category":null,"summary":"Economist Noah Smith asks why the much-discussed 'intelligence explosion' — the idea that AI will rapidly improve itself and trigger runaway progress — has not materialised despite advances in large language models. The essay argues that predictions of sudden, self-accelerating AI capability gains have so far not matched reality, a critique likely to draw debate among AI researchers, economists and tech commentators.","why":"Ongoing debate over whether rapid AI progress is about to accelerate uncontrollably, with sceptics questioning key predictions.","tone":"neutral","entities":["Noah Smith","OpenAI","artificial intelligence"],"summarized_at":"2026-09-29T14:52:50.554929Z","meta":{"lang":"en","link":"https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/wheres-the-intelligence-explosion","hn_id":"49893266","comments":9},"nw":null,"promo":null,"kind":null,"importance":null,"hidden":false,"hide_reason":null,"judged_at":null,"title_en":"Where Is the Predicted AI Intelligence Explosion?","timeline":[{"captured_at":"2026-09-29T14:50:39.767067Z","rank":29,"volume":9},{"captured_at":"2026-09-29T16:20:39.612583Z","rank":24,"volume":28}],"posts":[{"platform":"hn","url":"https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49893266","author":"anon373839","title":"Where's the \"Intelligence Explosion\"?","snippet":null,"posted_at":"2026-09-29T13:51:09Z","likes":28}],"elsewhere":[],"window":"7d"}}