{"ok":true,"trend":{"id":1207907,"platform":"mastodon","region":"global","key":"part 24 of the fat tail notes series — the price of breaking a promise. the hook part 23 priced the policy loophole and","title":"Part 24 of the Fat Tail Notes series — the price of breaking a promise. The hook Part 23 priced the policy loophole and","url":"https://www.urbanmind.net/display/f7dd981d-9df5bfb3-a4407fbebb579303","first_seen":"2026-10-06T07:21:37.551860Z","last_seen":"2026-10-06T07:24:34.799469Z","last_rank":3,"peak_rank":3,"last_volume":3,"peak_volume":3,"seen_count":1,"score":0.59515625,"category_hint":"software","section":"technology","category":"ai","summary":"Part 24 of the Fat Tail Notes series is out, continuing the analysis from Part 23, which found that a 10% exemption expectation erases 64% of a financial backstop's protective damage. The new instalment examines the price of breaking a promise, questioning whether the exemption rate can really be treated as fixed by the market rather than chosen by policymakers.","why":"Readers of the series are following the ongoing mathematical breakdown of how policy credibility affects financial backstops.","tone":"neutral","entities":["Fat Tail Notes"],"summarized_at":"2026-10-06T07:22:18.240928Z","meta":{"tag":"opensource","via":"scan","kind":"status","lang":"en","instance":"mastodon.social","tag_uses":591},"nw":null,"promo":null,"kind":null,"importance":null,"hidden":false,"hide_reason":null,"judged_at":null,"title_en":"Fat Tail Notes series continues with cost of broken promises","section_name":"Technology","category_name":"AI","timeline":[{"captured_at":"2026-10-06T07:21:37.551860Z","rank":3,"volume":3},{"captured_at":"2026-10-06T07:24:34.799469Z","rank":3,"volume":3}],"posts":[{"platform":"mastodon","url":"https://www.urbanmind.net/display/f7dd981d-9df5bfb3-a4407fbebb579303","author":"hackaday@www.urbanmind.net","title":null,"snippet":"Part 24 of the Fat Tail Notes series — the price of breaking a promise. The hook Part 23 priced the policy loophole and found the cliff: a 10% exemption expectation eats 64% of the backstop's damage. But that model treated the exemption rate p as something the market just…","posted_at":"2026-10-06T06:43:36Z","likes":3}],"elsewhere":[],"window":"7d"}}